温室气体排放与农业生产者福利:理论与实证分析

Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Agricultural Producer Welfare:Theory and Empirical Analysis

本文在Bartz and Kelly的框架下探讨了温室气体排放和气候变化对农业生产者福利所产生的影响,结果发现温室气体变化会通过加速气候变化对农业生产者福利产生不利的影响,温室气体排放越多,气候变化速度便越快,进而对农业生产者福利的负面影响便越大。进一步,本文利用1997—2014年的省际面板数据(除西藏外)对上述命题进行了实证检验,结论证实了上述逻辑。最后,本文得出了结论和相关的政策建议。

This paper discusses the relationship between greenhouse gas and agricultural producer welfare under the framework of Bartz and Kelly,and the result finds that greenhouse gas emissions would be harmful to the agricultural producers welfare,the more green house emits,the greater climate changes,and the bigger welfare losses would be found.Apart from it,we also make an empirical analysis to test this proposition by using the panel data from 1997 to 2014,and the result supports it.Finally,the conclusions and relevant suggestions are given.