中国草产品贸易格局和发展趋势分析

Analysis of trade patterns and development trends of Chinese grass products

近年来,随着收入增加、人口增长和城市化进程的推进,我国草食畜产品消费量显著增加,致使草产品短缺问题日益突出,草产品进口规模不断扩大,进口草产品已经成为我国草食畜牧业发展不可或缺的资源。为充分有效地利用好国际市场为我国草食畜牧业服务,本研究分别从草产品进口的商品结构和地理结构分析了我国草产品进口格局,并在此基础上对未来进行预判,得到以下结论:我国还将继续以苜蓿(Medicago spp.)干草作为主要进口产品;国内草产品的供给缺口还将继续依靠国际市场来弥补;"一带一路"倡议的推进将开拓更广阔的市场;美国将继续保持我国第一大草产品供给国的地位;质量在草产品贸易中的关键作用日益突出。

In recent years,with increased income,population growth,and the continuing process progress of urbanization,consumption of herbivorous livestock products has increased significantly in China resulting in a serious shortage of grass products.The scale of grass product import is expanding,because they have become indispensable resources for herbivorous animal husbandry in China.To utilize international market efficiently for serving China’s herbivorous animal husbandry,this study analyzed the patterns of herbivorous product import in China and predicted its future,based on the commodity and geographical structures of herbivorous product import.The following conclusions were consequently obtained:China will continue importing alfalfa hay as the main product;the supply gap of domestic grass products will necessitate continued dependence on the international market to meet the demand;the promotion of the“One Belt and One Road Initiative”will develop a broader market;the United States of America will remain China’s largest supplier of grass products;and quality competition will be the top priority for forage industry development.