中国离婚率的地域差异——基于县级样本的实证检验

Divorce Rate Differences in China: Empirical Test Based on County-Level Samples

基于县级样本数据,对中国离婚率地域差异影响因素进行实证检验,发现影响离婚率地域差异的三个重要解释变量为家庭户均人口数、平均受教育年限和少数民族人口比重,分别体现了家庭规模、教育和民族因素对离婚率水平的影响。实证结果表明,国内研究中用社会聚合论与经济社会结构论来解释中国离婚率的地域差异并不合适;尽管中国整体社会经济水平在不断进步,但离婚率的地域差异仍是比较明显的。

Based on the data of county-level samples,this paper makes an empirical test on the factors affecting the regional differences of the divorce rates in China,and finds that the three significance important explanatory variables are the average household size,the average years of education and the proportion of minority population,which reflects the influence of family size,education and ethnic factors on divorce rates.The empirical results show that the use of social integration and economic social structure in domestic research to explain the regional differences in the divorce rates in China is not appropriate.Although China s overall economic and social level is progressing,the regional differences in the divorce rate are still relatively obvious.