中国人口老龄化对经济增长的影响研究

The Study about Aging Population Influence on Economic Growth of China

在全球老龄化趋势的大背景下,探究人口老龄化问题对经济增长的影响,已经成为学界研究的一个热点.依据中国国家统计局发布的统计数据,采用定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法,分析了各省(市)的老龄化状况以及通过回归模型定性分析老龄人口抚养比对GDP增长的影响.针对目前人口老龄化对中国经济增长产生的不良影响,提出了在我国目前经济还不发达的情况下应加快科技发展,提高生产效率,合理开发老年人才资源等方法,以促进我国的经济增长保持良好的态势.

The aging of the population,also known as"population aging",refers to the phenomenon of increasing pro-portion of the elderly in the population.In the background of the global aging trend,it has become a hot topic in the academic field to explore the impact of population aging on economic life.Based on the statistical data issued by the National Bureau of Statistics,this paper analyzed the aging status of the Provinces(cities)and the qualitative analysis of the influence of the aging population dependency ratio on the growth of GDP by combining the qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.In view of the adverse effects of the population aging on China's economic growths it is proposed that the development of science and tech-nology,the efficiency of production and the rational exploitation of the resources of the elderly should be accelerated in order to promote the economic growth in China.