影响我国财政教育支出相关因素的实证分析

The empirical analysis of relevant factors affecting the fiscal expenditure on education in our country

针对我国的财政教育支出,选取国内生产总值、年末人口数量、居民教育消费价格指数、财政教育支出占总支出的比例、居民人均教育消费支出等主要影响因素,采用多元线性回归分析的方法建立了数学模型.运用软件Eviews进行求解,从经济和统计层面分别对结果进行了相关检验,并通过逐步回归法对模型进行了改进,使得预测精度得以提高.结果显示,国内生产总值、居民人均教育消费和财政教育支出呈现正相关,年末人口数量和财政教育支出呈现负相关.

In view of the fiscal expenditure on education in our country,selectes some main influence factors such as gross domestic product,year-end populatio,price index of residents'education consumption,the proportion of financial education expenditure to total expenditure and per capita consumption of education.A mathematical model is established by means of multiple linear regression analysis.Use Eviews software to solve,carries out correlation test for the results from the economic and statistical levels,model was improved through the method of stepwise regression,and the prediction precision is improved.Results show that the gross domestic product,per capita education consumption have positive correlation with the fiscal expenditure on education,the year-end populatio is negatively related to the fiscal expenditure on education.