基于灰色理论的雅加达亚运会中国男篮技术指标及得失分趋势研究

Study of the Technical Indexes of Chinese Men's Basketball Team at Jakarta Asian Games and the Trend of Winning and Losing Points Based on Grey Theory

为了使中国男篮在今后的训练更具针对性,运用文献资料、数理统计等方法,对第18届亚运会中国男篮技术指标进行量化评价并对近6届亚运会的得失分变化趋势进行分析。研究表明:影响中国男篮胜负的主要因素为2分球命中率、助攻、防守篮板、犯规、盖帽;中国男篮外线进攻能力较弱,心理素质与投篮基本功还存在较大的缺陷;中国男篮由进攻型球队逐渐转变为侧重进攻的全攻全守型球队,对手与中国队的整体实力在逐渐拉近。

In order to make the following training of Chinese men's basketball team more targeted,this paperquantitatively evaluates the technical indexes of Chinese men's basketball team at the18th Asian Games by means of literature review and mathematical statistics,and analyzes the trend of the score loss and gain in the recent6Asian Games.The results show that the main factors affecting the success of Chinese men's basketball team are2-point shooting percentage,assists,defensive rebounds,fouls and blocks.The Chinese men's basketball team has weak offensive ability outside the perimeter.The Chinese men's basketball team has gradually changed from an attacking team to an attacking-defending team.