2018年美国中期选举及其政治和社会影响

The US Mid-Term Election in 2018 and Its Political and Social Impacts

2018年美国中期选举,既是特朗普政府的"期中考",也是美国2020年大选的前哨战。在美国政治极化和社会分裂加剧的背景下,两党的斗争异常激烈,选举的"政治暴力"之烈、竞选花费之巨、选民动员程度之高均为近几十年来所罕见。选后,共和党维持对参议院的控制权,民主党则夺回了对众议院的控制权,美国政治生态发生新变化。选举的结果表明,民主党的"认同政治"获得一定成功,但共和党的"特朗普化"仍在继续,美国自由和保守的政治力量仍处在激烈的"拉锯战"中。在新一届国会,控制众议院的民主党将加大对特朗普的制衡力度,并尽力阻挠特朗普和共和党的议程,未来激烈的政治斗争可能进一步撕裂美国社会。

The US mid-term election is a“midterm exam”for the Trump administration.In the context of accelerated political polarization and social division in the U.S.,the contest between the two major parties has tended to be more fierce,and the intensity of“political violence”during the election,the huge election expenses and the high level of voter mobilization have never been seen over the past decades.After the election,the Republicans have remained in control of the Senate,while the Democrats have regained control of the House of Representatives,thus bringing new changes to the US political ecology.The election results indicate that the“identity politics”championed by the Democrats has achieved some success,while the“Trumpization”within the Republicans is continuing,with the liberal and conservative forces in the U.S.locked in an intensified seesaw battle.In consideration of the 2020 national election,the Democratic Party in control of the House of Representatives of the new US Congress will increase its checks and balances on Trump,and try its best to block Trump’s and Republican agendas,with the fierce political contest in the future being likely to further divide the American society.