试析特朗普“新政”及其对中美关系的影响

The Trump Administration's “New Deal” and Its Impact on Sino-US Relations

了解特朗普"新政"的内容,我们可以更好理解当前并预判未来美国内政外交的走向。特朗普"新政"的内涵可从内政、外交、社会思潮三个维度来解读。内政方面,主要体现为4项内容:大减税、促就业、争民心、反移民。对内新政在一定程度上推动了美国国内经济的增长,执政效果较好。外交方面,体现为以"美国优先"为原则,继承并发扬了20世纪以来美国共和党总统的"三大外交法宝"。社会思潮方面,特朗普"新政"则打破了数十年来美国文化多元主义的所谓"政治正确性"与"道德正确性",让过度"左倾"的美国回归正态。同时,我们不宜过分解读特朗普"新政"对中美关系的负面影响,而应从战略高度认知和正面塑造中美关系。

A better grasp of Trump's“new deal”could help us better understand the current situation and predict the direction of the US's future domestic and foreign affairs.The connotation of Trump's“new deal”could be analyzed in3dimensions:domestic affairs,foreign affairs and social trend of thought.As for domestic affairs,it mainly presents in4elements:taxcut,employment promotion,seeking support from the voter,and antiimmigration.The effect of the domestic“new deal”is expressed as a drive of the domestic economy,and the governance result is relatively good.In the aspect of foreign affairs,it is embodied in the principle of“America First”,which inherits and carries forward the“three magic diplomatic weapons”of the Republican presidents since the20th century.With the social trend of thought,Trump's“new deal”has broken the socalled“political correctness”and“moral correctness”of America's pluralism cultural,resetting the over“leftleaning”US to normality.At the same time,we should recognize and positively shape the momentum of SinoUS relations from the strategic perspective,rather than read too much into the negative impact of Trump's“new deal”.