考虑模糊推理及蒙特卡洛方法的毁伤评估研究

Damage Evaluation Research Considering Fuzzy Inference and Monte-Carlo Method

随着定向能技术的发展,热毁伤效能评估已经成为研究的重点方向之一,但目标毁伤程度的量化研究缺乏较为通用的评估方法。为此,在有限元分析的基础上,考虑采用失效概率模糊推理和蒙特卡洛法相结合的方法求解可靠性。分析结果表明,该方法可以有效量化评估毁伤效应。

With the development of directed energy technology,the evaluation of thermal damage effectiveness has been become one of the most important researches.But there is no universal evaluation method for quantitative research of the target damage effectiveness.Therefore,based on FEM analysis,the combination of failure rate fuzzy inference and Monte-Carlo method is considered to solve reliability problem.The result shows that this research can quantitatively evaluate the damage effect.