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美国对华贸易救济的经济动因探究——基于负二项式回归的分析 被引量:1

Research on Economic Motivation of US. Trade Remedy to China
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摘要 利用1980—2017年的美国对华贸易救济数据,通过构建负二项计量模型,发现美国对华贸易救济立案调查数量既受到内生性经济因素影响,也受到外生性经济因素影响,还受到制度性经济因素影响,经济性因素占主要地位。美国个人储蓄率、经济增长率、通货膨胀率等内生性经济因素,人民币对美元汇率、中美贸易顺差额等外生性经济因素和中国加入WTO、2008年经济危机等制度性经济因素显著影响美国对华贸易救济立案调查数量。 Usingtrade remedy data of the United States to Chinaof 1980-2017,by building a negative binomial model of measurement,and found that the U.S.trade remedy investigation number is affected by endogenous economic factors,also affected by exogenous economic factors,also affected by institutional economic factors,economic factors are in the highest flight.The personal saving rate,economics growth rate,the inflation rate and so naturally economic factors,the RMB exchange rate against the dollar,China's trade surplus and other exogenous economic factors and China's accession to the WTO,the economic crisis in 2008,such as institutional economic factors all significantly affect the U.S.trade remedy investigation quantity.
作者 毕吉耀 王元方 BiJiyao;Wang Yuanfang(Macroeconomic Research Institute,The National Development and Reform Commission,Beijing 100824,China;School of Economics,RenminUniversity of China,Beijing 100872,China)
出处 《河北经贸大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第1期68-74,共7页 Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business
关键词 特朗普 贸易救济 经济动因 负二项式回归 贸易保护 反倾销 中美贸易顺差 Donald John Trump trade remedy economic factor negative binomial regression trade protection anti-dumping China's trade surplus
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