莫迪政府“西联政策”驱动性与阻碍性因素探析

An Analysis of the Driving and Obstructing Factors of Modi's“Link West Policy”

“西联政策”作为印度适应印太地区和世界局势变迁以及推动国内发展和外交政策转型作出的重大国家战略部署,体现出莫迪政府重构并实施符合印度外交政策的逻辑和把握。同时,“西联政策”作为印度“向东行动政策”结构性补充和完善,有益二者并举前进,遥相呼应,成为助力印度走出南亚次大陆或亚洲地区,成为世界有影响力大国的关键一步。随着印度“向东行动政策”日臻成熟且处于美国等国实力范围映射或笼罩之下,印度的“西联政策”将成为莫迪政府重点发力和关注对象。能源安全保障、日益攀升的贸易往来以及突破中国“珍珠链”等因素将驱动印度不断推进其“西联政策”。同时,恐怖主义肆虐、近地优势削弱、硬实力与软实力转化等问题,将成为莫迪政府实施“西联政策”的重大挑战。

The Link West Policy,as a major national strategic plan for India to adapt to the changes in the Indo-Pacific region and the world situation and to promote domestic development and foreign policy transformation,reflects the logic and grasp of reconstructing and implementing India's foreign policy under the guidance of the Modi government.At the same time,Link West Policy as India's structural complement and improvement of Act East Policy,is not only conducive to parallel progress and echoing with each other,but also a crucial step to help India step out of the South Asian subcontinent or Asia and become a world-leading power.As India s Act East Policy is maturing and is under the protection or under the umbrella of the strength of the United States and other countries,India s Link West Policy"will become the focus of its efforts and attention.Energy security,rising trade exchanges,and breaking through China s"String of Pearls and other factors will drive India to continue its Link West Policy".At the same time,the ravages of terrorism,the weakening of advantages in the near-field,the transformation of hard power and soft power,and other issues will become major challenges for the Modi government to implement the"Link West Policy".