中国经济增长对二氧化碳排放量影响的实证研究

The Empirical Study of the Impact of Economic Growth on Its Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China

随着经济的发展,二氧化碳排放量的增加,温室效应问题越来越严重。在世界范围内,各国都采取积极措施,降低二氧化碳排放,发展低碳经济。本文使用中国2000-2014年15年间的数据,从整体、分产业分析了经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间的关系,运用单位根检验、协整检验等方法检验数据性质,最后对数据进行回归分析,回归结果显示能源消费是影响二氧化碳排放的主要原因之一,经济增长会增加二氧化碳的排放,这主要是由于第二产业的发展极大地增加了CO2的排放,而低碳的第三产业的发展则会减少CO2的排放量,最后根据这一研究结论,提出发展低碳经济相关的政策建议。

With the development of the economy,carbon dioxide emissions have increased,and the greenhouse effect problem has become more and more serious.Countries around the world have taken active measures to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and develop a low-carbon economy.This paper uses data from China during the15years from2000to2014and analyzes the relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions.We use unit root test,cointegration test and other methods to test the nature of the data and finally regress these data,whose results show that energy consumption is one of the main reasons affecting carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth will also increase carbon dioxide emissions,mainly because the development of the secondary industry has greatly increased CO2emissions,while the development of low-carbon tertiary industry will reduce CO2emissions.Finally,according to the conclusion of this study,We propose policy recommendations related to the development of a low-carbon economy.