大国效应下中国的雁阵模式产业升级研究——一个基于制造业的理论分析框架

Research on the “Flying Geese” model of the industrial upgrading in China under great nation effect: A theoretical framework based on manufactural industry

雁阵模式产业升级是推进中国制造业发展的重要动力。文章立足于大国效应,以制造业为例,通过构建基于企业—消费者—政府三方的数理模型,得出如下结论:大国效应决定了中国可以通过产业集聚与扩散的动态循环推进雁阵模式产业升级进程,而地区间分工经济的实现提高了雁阵模式产业升级的经济效率与质量。中央和地方政府需要依据不同的决策区间,科学选择扶持与调控模式,合理定位其不同角色,从而推进大国效应下的雁阵模式产业升级。

The“flying geese”model of industrial upgrading is an important power to promote the development of the manufactural industry in China.Under the great nation effect,taking manufactural industry as an example,through building a trilateral mathematical model about enterprise-consumergovernment,this thesis shows that:the great nation effect determines that China can promote the process of the“flying geese”model of industrial upgrading through a dynamic loop of industrial agglomeration and diffusion,and the realization of economy of labor division among regions improves the economic efficiency and quality of^flying geese”model of industrial upgrading.Government behavior is a double-edged sword,the central and local government needs to select the supportive and regulatory model scientifically and define their diferent roles reasonably according to different decision interval,which can promote the“flying geese”model of industrial upgrading under the great nation effect.