新型城镇化对省域经济增长影响效应分析——基于陕西省11个地市的面板数据

An Effect Analysis of the Impact of New-type Urbanization on Provincial Economic Growth——Based on the panel data of 11 cities in Shaanxi

新型城镇化与区域经济增长是相互促进、共同发展的,新型城镇化发展过程中如何推进区域经济增长,会产生哪些影响?通过选取2000—2016年陕西省十一地市区的面板数据,采用协整检验、脉冲函数和方差分解分析,对陕西省新型城镇化化与省域经济增长之间影响效应进行实证分析。结果表明:陕西省新型城镇化与省域经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,两者之间具有同向关系,但两者之间影响程度不同,新型城镇化对陕西省经济增长的促进作用显著,但在滞后期不同情况下的影响不同,经济的不断增长也进一步推动了陕西省新型城镇化的发展。

Seeing that the new-type urbanization and the regional economic growth promote each other and achieve common development,the paper is to explore the effects that the regional economic growth promotes the progress of new-type urbanization. With an empirical analysis on the panel data of eleven urban areas of Shaanxi province from2000 to 2016 by means of the co-integration test,the impulse function and the variance decomposition,the paper studies the influential effect between the new-type urbanization and the provincial economic growth in Shaanxi. The findings show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the new-type urbanization and the provincial economic growth in Shaanxi. There is a codirectional relationship between the two but the degree of influence varies between them. Though the new urbanization has a significant role in promoting the economic growth of Shaanxi province,its influence is different in the lag period under different circumstance and the economic growth promotes further the development of the new-type urbanization in Shaanxi.