武汉市财政收入分析预测模型探究

Research on the Analysis and Forecast Model of Wuhan's Financial Revenue

本文以武汉市财政收入为研究对象,收集了2000年到2015年的相关经济指标数据,运用SPSS和Eviews软件,采用相关分析、逐步回归分析和时间序列分析方法,建立模型并作出预测,主要研究结果是:工业增加值为影响武汉财政收入的关键因素,2016年武汉市一般预算收入的预测值为1570亿元。

This paper takes Wuhan’s fiscal revenue as the research object,collects the data of relevant economic indicators from 2000 to 2015,uses SPSS and Eviews software,uses correlation analysis,stepwise regression analysis and time series analysis methods,establishes models and makes predictions.The main results are as follows:industrial added value is the key factor affecting the financial revenue of Wuhan,and the forecast value of general budget revenue of Wuhan in 2016 is 157 billion yuan.