2018年LLDPE年度报告及2019年市场展望

2018 LLDPE Annual Report and 2019 Market Outlook

在OPEC减产协议松动的松动的情况下,页岩油产出的成本线是影响原油的主要原因。中国在2018年的经济增速还是和上半年预测的一致为6.6%,因此我国GDP的增长对PE消费需求强有力的提振效果。随着供需边际效益的走弱,2019年聚烯烃基本面难言强势但也绝不悲观,PE期货价格运行区间或延续自2018年以来的宽幅震荡趋势。

In the case of the loose loosening of the OPEC production reduction agreement,the cost line of shale oil production is the main reason affecting crude oil.China's economic growth rate in 2018 is still 6.6%consistent with the forecast in the first half of the year.Therefore,China's GDP growth has a strong boost effect on PE consumer demand.With the weakening of the marginal benefits of supply and demand,the fundamentals of polyolefins in 2019 are hard to say but not pessimistic.The PE futures price range may continue to fluctuate from 2018.