2019年全球矿业展望

Global mining outlook in 2019

2019年将是大国角逐、多种风险因素交织和动荡急剧的一年。世界经济发展面临贸易保护主义等诸多不确定因素的影响,增长前景暗淡。矿业公司投资谨慎,世界矿产勘查开发投资难以持续回升,理论、技术和方法有待突破。石油、天然气等大宗矿产供应格局发生变化,与之相关的地缘政治风险犹存。铁矿石、铜等与基础设施建设相关的矿产需求增长,价格将震荡上升。资源民族主义愈演愈烈,提高税费水平成为主要手段,全球矿业投资环境堪忧。

2019 will be a year with great power competition,multi-risk factors and abrupt turmoil.The development of the world economy will be affected by many uncertain factors such as trade protectionism,and the growth prospects are bleak.Mining companies are cautious in investing,and global mineral exploration and development investment is difficult to keep rising,and a breakthrough needed in the theory,technology and methods.The pattern of supply of large minerals such as oil and natural gas has changed,and the geopolitical risks still exist associated with it.The demand for minerals related to infrastructure construction such as iron ore and copper will increase,and prices will fluctuate.Resource nationalism has intensified,raising taxes and fees has become the main means,and the global mining investment environment is worrying.