可再生能源配额政策对新能源发展影响分析及消纳策略研究

Analysis on the effect of renewable portfolio standards on renewable energy development and accommodation strategies study

近年来,我国新能源快速发展,同时也出现了较为严重的弃风、弃光问题。为了解决新能源消纳问题,国家出台了可再生能源消费配额相关政策。首先从容量效应、电网联通效应与限制效应3个方面分析了可再生能源配额政策带来的影响,再从挖掘本地能源潜力、接纳跨区输送电力、优化区外送电曲线等方面提出了相应的新能源消纳策略,最后以时序生产模拟模型为基础,通过对某省电网2020年不同策略作用下的消纳情况进行了实证分析。

In recent years,the renewable energy in China has developed rapidly,at the same time,the phenomena of wind and solar power curtailment has also become an increasingly serious problem.To solve the problem,the country has introduced the policy of renewable portfolio standards.Firstly,the influence of the policy,focusing on the capacity growth effect,grid connection effect and restriction effect,is analyzed.From the aspects of tapping the local energy potential,accepting the transmission of electricity across regions,and optimizing the transmission curve outside the area,the corresponding new energy consumption strategies are proposed.Finally,based on the sequential production simulation model,the renewable energy accommodation in a province in 2020 under different kinds of strategies is empirically analyzed.