摘要
在对现有两岸金融合作研究进行简单梳理的基础上,从最优货币区的经济趋同标准出发,运用面板协整方法对两岸四地宏观经济变量(实际产出、汇率、利率和通货膨胀利率)之间的长期均衡关系进行检验,得出两岸四地满足最优货币区的条件,并提出深化两岸金融合作政策建议。
On the basis of the simple combing of the existing cross-strait financial cooperation research.From the economic convergence standard of the optimal currency area,to test the long-term equilibrium relationshipof the macro-economic variables(actual output,exchange rate,interest rate and inflation rate)by panel cointegration method.The two sides meet the conditions of the optimal currency area,and proposed to deepen cross-strait financial cooperation policy recommendations.
作者
孔海涛
张涛
Kong Haitao;Zhang Tao(Institute of Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 3 0 0 0 7 1 , China;School of Economics and Resource Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 10 0875, China)
出处
《未来与发展》
2019年第1期82-88,共7页
Future and Development
基金
国家社科基金重点项目(批准号13AGJ007)
关键词
面板协整
金融合作
可行性
panelcointegration
financial cooperation
feasibility
