科技服务业对军民技术融合行为演化影响机理研究——基于需求匹配视角

Research on the Influence Mechanism of Technology Service Industry on Behavior Evolution in Technology Integration of Military and Civilian——Based on the Perspective of the Demand Matching

对我国军民技术融合的发展现状和军民技术融合边界进行分析,发现大力发展军民两用技术、充分发挥科技服务业的纽带作用,是推进军民技术融合的切入点。因此,首先运用基于累积前景理论的双边匹配方法测度科技服务业对于军民技术融合的影响。其次,运用演化博弈理论深入探究科技服务业、军工企业和民用企业之间行为演化的影响机理并仿真。结果表明:军工企业的合作研发策略有利于促进军民技术的融合与创新;科技服务业也同样发挥促进作用,且效益型策略优于成本型策略;民用企业策略选择不仅会受到军工企业和科技服务业各自策略选择的影响,同时会受到两者策略选择平衡状态的影响。

This paper analyzes the present situation and boundary of the technology integration of military and civilian,and finds out that it is a starting point to promote the technology integration of military and civilian by making full use of the dual-use technology of military and civilian and giving full play to the link of technology service industry.Therefore,this paper firstly uses the bilateral matching method based on the cumulative foreground theory to measure the influence of technology service industry on the technology integration of military and civilian.Secondly,the evolutionary game theory is used to explore the mechanism and simulation of the behavioral evolution between technology service industry,military enterprise and civil enterprise.The results show that the cooperative research and development strategy of military enterprises is conducive to the technology integration of military and civilian.The technology service industry also plays a catalytic role,and the efficiency strategy is better than the cost strategy.Next,the strategy of civil enterprises will not only be affected by military enterprises and science and technology’s strategies,but also be influenced by the balance of the two strategies.