摘要
针对因舰船设计系统规模庞大、设计任务间关系复杂,导致研制风险评估可信度较低的问题,本文提出一种符合系统流程分解细化、设计要素粒度提升的建模与评估方法。根据分辨率反映模型描述对象的精细程度,建立基于设计结构矩阵的多分辨率建模方法。并根据舰船方案设计的主要内容及其相互关系建立不同分辨率的设计结构矩阵,通过仿真对设计流程进度、费用进行评估,比较了不同分辨率模型的优缺点。在考虑建模工作量和难度的情况下,本文的结果为采用不同分辨率模型提供了模型之间差异量的近似估计方法。
Large-scale ship system design and the complex relationships among its design tasks carry low-confidence development risk assessments.In view of this,a modeling and assessment method is presented in accordance with system process breakdown and upgrade of design element granularity.By employing resolution to describe the level of modeling object details,multi-resolution modeling based on a design structure matrix(DSM)is presented.A DSM with differing resolutions was built according to ship design tasks and their involvement in warship scheme design.The schedule and cost of the design processes were evaluated by simulation;also,advantage and disadvantage of the different resolution models were compared.By comparing the difficulties and work of modeling with different resolutions,the difference between models with different resolutions was analyzed,and additionally an approximate method to estimate this difference between models was presented.
作者
徐一帆
吕建伟
杨晶
王广强
XU Yifan;LYU Jianwei;YANG Jing;WANG Guangqiang(Department of Management Engineering and Equipment Economics,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China)
出处
《哈尔滨工程大学学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第1期102-111,共10页
Journal of Harbin Engineering University
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71401171)
装备预研基金项目(6140002050101)
关键词
舰船设计
设计结构矩阵
多分辨率建模
复杂系统
系统仿真
风险分析
费用风险
进度风险
warship design
design structure matrix(DSM)
multi-resolution modeling
complex system
system simulation
risk analysis
cost risk
schedule risk