供给侧视角下河源市农业经济发展研究

Research on Agricultural Economic Development of Heyuan City From the Perspective of Supply Side

以河源市2005-2017年的农业产业数据作为研究对象,运用灰色关联分析法对河源市农业内部各产业、农业生产条件、主导农产品与农业总产值的关联度进行分析。研究表明:在产业结构方面,种植业和农林牧渔服务业与农业总产值关系最大;生产条件方面,农业用电量和农业机械总动力与农业总产值关系最大;主导农产品方面,茶叶、油茶籽、板栗、水果与农业总产值关系大。在此基础上提出河源市应该根据当前农业发展的实际情况,一方面围绕消费市场需求,优化产业结构,大力发展特色农产品,打造农产品品牌;另一方面围绕农业生产需求,大力扶持农业科技创新,提供优质品种,改善农业生产条件,发展农业生产性服务业。

Taking Heyuan's agricultural industry data from 2005-2017 as the research object,the Gray Correlation Analysis method is used to analyze the correlation between various industries in the agriculture,agricultural production conditions,leading agricultural products and total agricultural output value in Heyuan City.Studies shows that in terms of industrial structure,planting,agriculture,forestry,fishery and animal husbandry services have the greatest relationship with agricultural output value.In terms of production conditions,the agricultural electricity consumption and the total power of agricultural machinery have the largest relationship with the total agricultural output value.In terms of leading agricultural products,tea,camellia seed,chestnut,fruit and agricultural output value have a great relationship.On this basis,it is proposed that Heyuan City should be based on the actual situation of current agricultural development,on one hand,we should optimize the industrial structure,vigorously develop the characteristic agricultural products,and create the brand of agricultural products around the needs of the consumer market,on the other hand,we must vigorously support agricultural science and technology innovation,provide the seeds of high quality agricultural products,improve agricultural production conditions and develop agricultural productive services in response to the needs of agricultural production.