摘要
本文利用美国BEA官方数据,结合WIOD数据,分别从美国自身经济结构,以及电子产业全球生产体系出发,分析美国电子产业增加值率如何在产业环境不断变动的情形下保持增长。分析表明,在电子产业的全球生产链中,中国与韩国等国家不断加强产业联系,美国电子产业的生产通过把更多的中间产品外包出去,推动全球生产体系的形成。在这样的全球生产体系下,贸易战首先会冲击美国电子产业的高盈余,而且随着市场力量的改变,美国越来越依靠本地市场的情况下,美国电子产业的高增加值率以及贸易战的成本就会成为加在本国消费者头上的一种负担。
Starting with an analysis of the US economic structure and the global production system of electronics industry,using US BEA data and WIOD data respectively,this paper discusses how the value-added rate of US electronics industry can keep rising under the changing industrial environment.The analysis shows that in the global production chain of electronics industry,China and South Korea continue to strengthen industrial links,and the US electronics industry promotes the formation of a global production system by outsourcing more intermediate products.In this global production pattern,the trade war will certainly first hit the high surplus of the US electronics industry.At the same time,with the change of market forces and the United States is increasingly relying on the local market,the high value-added rate of the US electronics industry and the cost of the trade war will become a burden on domestic consumers.
作者
夏明
彭春燕
Xia Ming;Peng Chunyan(Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China;Chinese Academy of Scienceand Technology for Development,Beijing 100038,China)
出处
《中国科技论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第2期169-178,共10页
Forum on Science and Technology in China
基金
科技创新战略研究专项"新时代科技创新支撑现代化经济体系建设的战略方向与路径研究"(ZLY201734)
关键词
电子产业
增加值率
投入产出分析
Electronics industry
Value-added rate
Input-output analysis