基于TOPSIS-熵权法的陕西创新驱动发展评价指标研究

Study on evaluation index of Shaanxi innovation-driven development based on TOPSIS-entropy weight method

实施创新驱动发展战略成为陕西经济发展新常态、保持经济持续健康发展的必然选择。如何更好地实施创新驱动发展战略,评价创新发展成果,关键在于形成具有陕西特色的创新驱动发展体系。通过对"三个陕西"的分析,紧紧围绕陕西"十三五"规划纲要,参考相关研究,结合陕西实际,构建陕西创新驱动发展评价指标体系。在此基础上,综合运用了TOPSIS-熵权法实证分析了陕西2012～2017年的创新驱动发展水平以及各指标的贡献程度。研究认为,陕西创新驱动发展水平逐年增加,经历了一个先降后升再回落的过程,这个过程反映的是陕西创新驱动发展的变化过程,自2015年以后这种发展速度有所减缓,但仍处在上升期。为了更好地指导行业发展,识别出陕西创新驱动发展过程的关键指标,分别为:快递量,发明专利申请量,园林绿地面积,技术市场成交额,水电、风电及其他能发电消费总量,地方财政科学技术支出等指标,在实证结果的基础上,结合各指标贡献程度,从重视与扶持快递业发展、推动技术转移工作、加大财政科技支出、抢抓"一带一路"倡议机遇、加强知识产权保护、推进陕西绿色能源应用发展等6个方面提出可操作性政策建议。

Implementing innovation-driven development strategy has become an inevitable choice and new norm for Shaanxi’s sustained and healthy economic development.How to better implement the strategy of innovation-driven development and evaluate the achievements of innovation lies in the formation of an innovation-driven development system with Shaanxi characteristics.The evaluation index system of innovation driven development in Shaanxi is constructed,through the analysis of the“Three Shaanxi”and closely around the“13th Five-Year Plan”outline of Shaanxi,referring to relevant research,combining with the reality of the province.On this basis,the TOPSIS-entropy weight method was used to empirically analyze the level of innovation driven development and the contribution of each index in Shaanxi from 2012 to 2017.The results show that:the level of innovation driven development in Shaanxi has been increasing year by year,with the overall process as first decline,then rise and then fall back.This process reflects the changing process of innovation driven development in Shaanxi.Since 2015,the development speed has slowed down,but it is still on the rise.To better guide the industry,it identifies key indicators of Shaanxi’s innovation driven development process.They are:express delivery,patent application for invention,green space area,technology market turnover,total consumption of hydropower,wind power and other energy,local financial expenditure on science and technology and other indicators.Finally,based on the empirical results,combined with the degree of index contribution,we put forward some feasible policy recommendations.We should attach importance to supporting the development of the express industry,promoting the transfer of technology,increasing financial and technological expenditure,grasping the opportunity of“the Belt and Road”Initiative,strengthening the protection of intellectual property rights,and promoting the application of green energy in Shaanxi.