居民再生育意愿影响因素研究

Study on the Influencing Factors of Chinese Residents' Reproductive Desire

"全面二孩"政策的实施在一定程度上提高了居民的再生育意愿,但再生育意愿除了受政策因素的影响外,还受到个人、经济和社会因素的影响。文章以黑龙江省作为研究范本,对黑龙江省哈尔滨市、齐齐哈尔市、佳木斯市、鸡西市、七台河市五个城市部分育龄人口的再生育意愿进行了抽样调查,运用二元Logistic回归模型,对居民再生育意愿进行研究分析,找出影响居民再生育意愿的主要影响因素。结果表明,居民再生育意愿主要受到年龄、是否为独生子女、已有生育状况、家庭经济状况、抚育孩子成本、生育观念、家庭成员的社会保障状况、工作和事业的发展等因素的影响。

Since the implementation of the"Universal Two-child"policy,the fertility rate of Chinese residents has increased.The implementation of the"Universal Two-child"policy has improved the residents'reproductive desire to a certain extent,but the residents'reproductive desire is affected not only by policy factors,but also by personal,economic and social factors.Taking the typical province Heilongjiang as a research model,a sample survey on the reproductive desire of the childbearing population in five cities of Harbin,Qiqihar,Jiamusi,Jixi and Qitaihe in Heilongjiang province was investigated.By using binary logistic regression model,the current reproductive desire of the childbearing population is studied and analyzed,and the main influencing factors affecting the reproductive desire of residents are found out.The results of the study show the reproductive desire of residents is mainly influenced by factors such as age,whether they are the only child or not,the existing fertility status,the family economic conditions,the cost of raising children,the fertility concept,the social security status of family members,and the development of their work and career.