国际产能合作视角下的中国工业绿色转型研究

Research on International Production Capacity Cooperation and Green Transformation of Chinese Industry

基于国际产能合作和工业绿色转型的内涵,从对外直接投资、出口贸易及对外工程承包方面分析了国际产能合作对工业绿色转型的作用机制,构建了工业绿色转型指数,测度了中国各省份的工业绿色转型程度,并运用固定效应回归和面板门槛模型进行实证检验。研究表明:中国各省份工业绿色转型程度差异较大,整体水平较低;对外工程承包和出口贸易对工业绿色转型总体有阻碍作用,不同区域有所差异;对外直接投资整体上可以促进东、中、西部地区的工业绿色转型,与研发水平、人力资本呈明显的互补关系,与人均GDP、技术差距呈替代关系,不同区域吸收对外直接投资溢出效应的能力存在差异,只有当各地区跨过经济发展水平、研发水平、人力资本、技术差距门槛时,对外直接投资才会显著地促进中国工业绿色转型。在此基础上,基于国际产能合作的视角,提出了促进中国工业绿色转型的对策建议。

Based on the connotation of international production capacity cooperation and industrial green transformation,this paper theoretically analyzes the mechanism of capacity cooperation on industrial green transformation from the aspects of foreign direct investment,export trade and foreign engineering contracting.The industrial green transformation index is constructed and the industrial green transformation degree of China’s provinces is measured.The mechanism of action is tested by the fixed effect regression and the panel threshold model.The results show that the degree of industrial green transformation varies greatly and the overall level is low in all provinces of China,and the contracting of foreign projects and export trade hinder the green transformation of industry in general,and there are differences in different regions.As a whole,OFDI can promote the industrial green transformation in East,middle and western regions,and the relationship between OFDI and R&D level and human capital is obviously complementary,OFDI and GDP per capita,the technological gap is substitute relationship.There are differences in the ability of different regions to absorb OFDI spillover effects.Only when each region crosses the threshold of economic development,R&D level,human capital and technology gap,OFDI will significantly promote the green transformation of China’s industry.On this basis,based on the perspective of international capacity cooperation,the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the green transformation of Chinese industry are put forward.