基于灰色关联模型的互联网发展水平与经济增长实证研究

Empirical Study on Internet Development Level and Economic Growth Based on Grey Relational Model

选取2015年全国31省份年度数据,基于灰色关联模型,对互联网发展水平与经济增长指标关联情况进行了实证分析。研究发现:外商直接投资与网址数、网页数关联程度最大;专利申请数量与域名数、网址数关联程度最大;固定资产总额与上网人数、移动电话年终人数关联程度最大;外商投资企业进出总额与网址数、网页数关联程度最大;GDP与上网人数、移动电话年终人数关联程度最大。互联网基础建设及普及程度与经济增长的关系较为密切,外商投资与专利申请与互联网发展水平的关系较为显著。最后,结合分析结果,对地区互联网的发展与建设提出相关建议。

Based on the grey relational model,this paper selects the annual data of 31 provinces in China in 2015,and makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between Internet development level and economic growth indicators.The results show that:FDI has the greatest correlation with the number of websites and web-pages;the number of patent applications has the greatest correlation with the number of domain names and websites;the total amount of fixed assets has the greatest correlation with the number of Internet users and the number of mobile phones at the end of the year;the total amount of foreign investment enterprises has the greatest correlation with the number of websites and web-pages;P has the greatest correlation with the number of Internet users and the number of mobile phone users at the end of the year.Internet infrastructure and popularity are closely related to economic growth,while foreign investment and patent application are significantly related to the level of Internet development.Finally,combined with the analysis results,some suggestions are put forward for the development and construction of regional Internet.