安徽省资源消耗、污染排放与经济增长的脱钩分析及情景规划

A Decoupling Analysis and Scenario Planning of Resources Consumption,Pollution Emission and Economic Growth in Anhui Province

基于脱钩指数,利用情景分析模型分析了安徽省2005—2016年10年间的能耗、水耗、废水及废气排放与经济增长的脱钩情况,规划分析了安徽省未来10年能耗、废水排放与经济增长的3种情景及其脱钩情况。在综合考量当前发展模式和理想发展模式的基础上认为,未来10年,安徽省应采取适宜发展模式,尽早实现资源消耗、污染排放与经济增长的脱钩。

Based on decoupling index,the writer of this article makes an analysis of the energy consumption,water consumption,waste water discharge and economic growth of Anhui Province during the 10 years from 2005 to 2016 by scenario analysis model,and makes a corresponding plan for the next 10 years.Based on the comprehensive consideration of the current development model and the ideal development model,the writer believes that in the next 10 years,Anhui Province should adopt as soon as possible an appropriate development model to realize the decoupling of resource consumption,pollution emissions and economic growth.