面向用户侧的电能替代实施效果评估模型研究

Research on User Oriented Power Substitution Effect Evaluation Model

电能替代作为推进综合能源服务发展的重要抓手,在优化能源布局、促进节能减排等方面有着重要的作用。为评估电能替代用户实施效果,基于用户不同负荷特性,运用模糊聚类模型进行分组,形成差异化的用户分类;以用电量、替代电量、合同容量、增加设备容量和投资金额作为评估指标,构建实施效果评估模型,实现用户侧电能替代实施效果的有效评估。研究成果可助力市场拓展人员有针对性地开展电能替代工作,并为相关部门制定电能替代精准营销策略提供一定的理论支撑。

As an important starting point for promoting the development of integrated energy services,electric energy substitutionplays an important role in optimizing energy layout and promoting energy conservation and emission reduction.In order to evaluate the effect of implementation of electric energysubstitution for users,based on the different load characteristics of users,the fuzzy clustering model is used to group the users and form a differentiated user classification.Taking the electric energy consumption,substituted electric energy consumption,contract capacity,capacity of increasing equipment and investment amount as evaluation indicators,the model to evaluate the effect of implementation is constructed,to achieve effective evaluation of electric energy substitution at the user side.The investigated results can help carry out power substitution specifically for market development department,and provide certain theoretical support for relevant departments to develop accurate marketing strategies for electric energy substitution.