环境规制的产业转移效应分析——基于资源禀赋转换的视角

Analysis of the Industrial Transfer Effect of Environmental Regulation——Based on the Transformation of Resource Endowment

本文从理论视角分析环境规制引致产业转移的作用机理,提出环境规制与产业转移之间存在门槛效应及区域要素禀赋具有中介效应的假设,并以中国省级面板数据进行实证检验。研究结果表明,环境规制与产业转移之间存在U型相关关系,环境规制强度跨越门槛值时,环境规制提高产业转移的活跃度;自然资源禀赋和要素资源禀赋在环境规制与产业转移之间存在显著的中介效应,中介效应的大小及作用方向受环境规制强度的影响;自然资源禀赋和要素资源禀赋在环境规制与产业转移之间存在双重门槛效应。据此,合理设定环境规制强度、优化区域要素禀赋对提升产业转移效率,破解区域经济发展不平衡,实现环境保护与经济协调发展具有重要意义。

This paper analyzes the mechanism of the environmental regulation leading to the industrial transfer from the theoretical perspective, puts forward the hypothesis that there exists a threshold effect between the environmental regulation and the industrial transfer exists and the regional factor endowment plays an intermediary role, and conducts empirical tests with Chinese provincial panel data through the measurement model. The results are as follows: First, there is a U correlation between the environmental regulation and the industrial transfer. Only when the intensity of the environmental regulation crosses the threshold value can the environmental regulation increases the activity of the industrial transfer. Second, natural resources endowments and factor resources endowments play a significant intermidiary effect between the environemental regulation and the industrial transfer, and the size and the direction of the intermediary effect value are affected by the intensity of the environmental regulation. Third, natural resources endowments and factor resources endowments have a double threshold effect between the environmental regulation and the industrial transfer. Therefore, it is of great significance to set a reasonable intensity value of the environmental regulation and optimize regional factor endowments to promote the industrial transfer and realize the coordinated development of the environment and the economy.