摘要
改革开放四十年来,中国的经济快速发展伴随着大规模的人口流动。流动人口对于城市而言不仅意味着人口和劳动力的变化,还影响到整个经济系统。作者以全国人口普查和1%人口抽样调查数据为基础,结合全国流动人口监测数据和城市层面的经济社会统计数据,探讨流动人口对城市经济发展的影响。研究认为,流动人口对于城市未来劳动力市场发育、经济结构转型以及经济效率提升在中长期具有持续积极影响,流动人口既是城市劳动力供给和经济增长的贡献来源,也是经济效率提升和经济发展方式转变的驱动力。城市未来的繁荣较大程度上取决于今天如何认识和对待流动人口。
The rapid economic development in the past forty years of reform and opening up has been accompanied by mass population migration.For cities,migration not only brings the changes of population and labor force,but also affects the entire economic system.Based on the National Population Census and 1%population sampling survey data,combined with the National Migrants Population Monitoring data and economic and social statistics at prefecture city level,this paper explores the effects of migration on city s economic development.Migration has a long-term and lasting positive impact on cities future labor market development,economic structural transformation and economic efficiency improvement.Migrants are not only the source of cities labor supply and economic growth,but also the driving force of economic efficiency improvement and transformation of economic development mode.The prosperity of the city in the future depends largely on how to understand and deal with the migrants today.
作者
程杰
CHENG Jie(Institute of Population and Labor Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100028,China)
出处
《城市与环境研究》
2018年第4期54-69,共16页
Urban and Environmental Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金应急管理项目"供给侧结构性改革中的人力资本积累问题研究"(批准号:71642005)
国家社会科学基金项目"户籍制度改革的成本与收益研究"(批准号:14BJY034)
