财政分权与晋升激励下环境规制对产业结构升级的影响

The Impact of Environmental Regulations on Upgrading Industrial Structureunder Fiscal Decentralization and Promotion Incentive

当前,中国经济发展面临严峻的资源环境约束瓶颈,依靠产业结构升级来实现经济可持续发展已成为学术界和政策制定者关注的重要议题。基于这一问题,利用2000—2015年中国31个省市自治区的面板数据,采用空间杜宾计量模型,基于财政分权和官员晋升激励的视角,检验环境规制对产业结构升级的影响。结果发现:(1)单独来看,环境规制能够显著促进区域产业结构升级;(2)在考虑财政分权这一制度背景的条件下,由于财政纵向失衡和地方官员"自利性"的行为方式,会导致环境治理政策的"缺位",进而不利于地区的产业结构升级;(3)在考虑"唯GDP论英雄"的晋升激励机制下,会出现环境规制的非完全执行,进而抑制地区的产业结构升级;(4)分区域来看,东部地区和中西部地区的环境规制能够显著促进地区产业结构升级。而且,东部地区与中西部地区财政分权与官员晋升激励的调节作用也呈现相反的特征。

Currently,China's economic development is facing a severe bottleneck of resource and environmental constraints.It has been an important issue for academic circles and policy makers to achieve sustainable economic development relying on the upgrading of industrial structure.So,from the viewpoint of fiscal decentralization and promotion incentive,this paper tests the influence of environmental regulations on upgrading industrial structure using panel data from 31 provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions from 2000 to 2015 and spatial Dobbin metrological model.The results of this essay are as follows:(1) Separately,environmental regulations can significantly promote the upgrading of regional industrial structure;(2) Under the background of fiscal decentralization,the vertical imbalance of finance and the self-interest behavior of local officials,the environmental governance policies are deficient,which goes against the upgrading of regional industrial structure;(3) Under the promotion incentive mechanism of only considering GDP,the enforcement of environmental regulation will be incomplete,which will restrain the upgrading of regional industrial structure;(4) Regionally,the environmental regulations in the east,central and west China can significantly promote the upgrading of regional industrial structure.Moreover,the regulating effects of financial decentralization and promotion incentive of officials in the east,central and west China also present opposite characteristics.