宁夏入境旅游时空演化特征及驱动因素研究

A study on the spatial-temporal evolution and driving factors of inbound tourism in Ningxia

选取2000—2016年宁夏入境旅游和经济发展数据,采用年际变动指数、地理集中指数、地理探测器等方法对宁夏入境旅游的时空演化特征与驱动因素进行分析.结果表明,17年间,宁夏入境旅游发展迅速,年平均增长率达32.68%;入境旅游发展区域差异明显,游客主要集中在银川市,但区域差异正在逐步缩小.宁夏入境旅游经济表现为明显的地域差异性、空间集聚性,银川市入境旅游经济始终占据着宁夏入境旅游发展的首要地位,但入境旅游经济发展空间的集聚化在逐步减弱.因子探测显示,旅游地接待条件、交通可达性和对外经济水平对入境旅游发展影响最强烈,而旅游资源优势、旅游产业发展水平和区域发展水平次之,城市化水平对入境旅游发展水平的影响最弱.

This paper chooses the data of inbound tourism and economic development in Ningxia from 2000 to 2016,and analyzes the temporal,spatial evolution characteristics and driving factors of inbound tourism in Ningxia by using interannual variability index,geographical concentration index and geography detector.The results show that,over the past 17 years,Ningxia's inbound tourism has developed rapidly,and average annual growth rate is 32.68%.The difference in inbound tourism development is obvious.Tourists are mainly concentrated in Yinchuan City,but regional differences are gradually narrowing.The analysis shows that inbound tourism economy is characterized by obvious regional differences and spatial agglomeration in Ningxia.The inbound tourism economy of Yinchuan City always occupies the primary position of the development of Ningxia inbound tourism.However,this trend of agglomeration is gradually weakening.Factor detection shows that the tourist reception conditions,traffic accessibility and foreign economic level have the strongest impact on the development of inbound tourism,while the tourism resource advantage,the tourism industry development level and the regional development level are in second place,and the impact of urbanization level is the weakest.