对当前玉米供需形势及金融支农情况的调查

Survey on Corn Supply and Demand Situation and Financial Support to Agriculture Changchun central branch of the People's Bank of China

2018年为玉米临储政策取消的第三年,是粮食市场化改革推进和深化的关键时期。本年中国人民银行长春中支持续关注玉米市场动态,实地调研吉林省玉米主产区。调查结果显示:受种植结构调整及天气因素影响,玉米减产已成定数;农户惜售心理强烈,价格或将达到市场化收购后新高;临储竞拍持续放量,库存压力减小,粮食贸易加工企业需求扩大,玉米供求处于紧平衡状态;金融支农力度有所加大,但农发行自身面临筹资成本问题。

Up to 2018,the National Temporary Corn Reserve Policy has been cancelled for three years grain marketization reform is entering a critical period. Changchun central branch of the People’s Bank of China pays sustained attention to corn market dynamics, investigating the main corn producing areas of Jilin province.The results show that, affected by planting structure adjustment and weather factors, the reduction of corn yield has become certain. Farmers are reluctant to sell out,the price may reach a new peak after the marketization reform. With the increasing volume of the auction,inventory pressure decreased, but the demand of the grain trade and processing enterprise is expanding, the corn supply and demand are in a tight balance.Financial support for agriculture has been strengthened, but agricultural development bank of China faces the problem of cost of funds.