我国高职教育对产业结构转型升级影响的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Influence of Higher Vocational Education on the Transformation and Upgrading of Industrial Structure in China

现代科学技术的发展促进了产业结构转型升级,产业的转型升级引起市场对劳动力需求发生变化,因此高职教育人才培养是否与产业结构转型升级需要相吻合就显得极为重要。为此,在分析我国高职教育和产业结构发展现状的基础上,实证分析了我国2000-2016年职业教育发展对产业结构转型升级的影响。从短期看我国高职教育对第二产业影响不大;但从长期看高职教育发展与产业转型升级间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。

The development of modern science and technology has promoted the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure in China,which has caused the change of labor demand in job market.Therefore,it is very important that higher vocational education personnel training match the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure.For this reason,based on the analysis of the status quo of China's higher vocational education and industrial structure development,this article empirically analyzes the impact of the development of vocational education in China on the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure from 2000 to 2016.It is concluded that,in the short term,the impact of higher vocational education on the secondary industry is not significant;however,there is a long-term and stable equilibrium correlation between the development of higher vocational education and industrial transformation and upgrading in the long run.