安徽省绿色发展能力测度与时空分异研究

MEASUREMENT AND SPATIAL-TEMPORAL DIFFERENCES OF GREEN DEVELOPMENT CAPABILITY IN ANHUI PROVINCE

绿色发展能力是衡量现代区域发展水平的重要标准。参考多视角构建"绿色发展能力"概念并尝试建立评价指标体系,以相关统计数据为基础,综合运用熵值法、变异系数和系统协调度模型对2006～2016年安徽省绿色发展能力时空演化及其协调性特征进行实证研究。研究发现:(1)安徽省总体绿色发展能力出现弱化,总体降幅达2. 7%,且经济发展和社会创新能力子系统存在显著"极化"特征。(2)绿色发展能力变异系数维持在0. 6左右,并有小幅增长,整体差异扩大;其中经济发展和社会创新能力变异系数达到1. 3,成为安徽省绿色发展能力时空分异格局的主导力量。(3)安徽省绿色发展能力子系统之间协调类型(或等级)城市数量基本稳定,但空间差异格局变动较为显著。

Green development capability is an important criterion for measuring thelevel of development in modern regions. Comprehensive multi - perspective put forwad the connotation of "green development capacity " and try to construct evaluation index system. Based on relevant statistical data, using the entropy method, coefficient of vaiation and system coordination degree model to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution of Anhui's green development capability from 2006 to 2016 and its Coordinated features for empirical reseach. The study found:(1 ) The overall green development capability of Anhui Province has weakened, with a drop of economic development capability and social innovation capability subsystem have significant "polaization" chaacteristics.(2 ) The coefficient of vaiation of green development capability remained at aound 0. 6 , with a small increase, and the overall difference expanded;among them, the coeficient of vaiation of economic development and social innovation capability reached 1.3, which became the dominant force in the spatial and temporal differentiation pattern of Anhui's green development capability.( 3 ) The number of coordination types ( or grades) between the subsystems of green development capability in Anhui Povince is basically stable, while the spatial difference pattern is more significant.