现阶段农地流转与农村劳动力转移的影响研究——基于CHIP2013数据的实证分析

The Impact of Rural Land Transfer on Rural-urban Migration at the Present Stage: An Empirical Analysis Based on CHIP2013

学界关于农地流转对农村劳动力转移的影响还未形成统一的定论。基于2013年中国家庭收入调查(CHIP)数据,运用回归模型分析了农村土地接包和土地转包对劳动力转移的影响。研究结果显示:土地接包会减少农村劳动力的转移;土地转包与劳动力转移之间不存在显著地相关关系;现阶段的农地流转与劳动力转移具有不一致性。因此,为促进农村劳动力转移,应该加快培育新型农业经营主体,建立规范的土地流转市场,消除城乡壁垒,完善城市和农村社会保障体系。

The academia has not yet formed a unified conclusion about the impact of transfer of rural land on rural labor force transfer.Based on the 2013 Chinese Household Income Project(CHIP2013)data,the influence of rural land transferred or rented and land transferred or borrowed on rural-urban migration is analyzed by applying regression models.The results show that:The land transferred or rented will reduce the rural-urban migration.There was no significant correlation between land transferred or borrowed and labor transfer.At the present stage,rural land transfer and rural-urban migration are inconsistent.Therefore,in order to promote the rural-urban migration,we should speed up the cultivation of new agricultural management entities,establish a standardized land transfer market,eliminate urban and rural barriers,and improve the urban and rural social security system.