新生代农民工就近城镇化意愿影响因素研究——基于江苏省的调查

Influence Factors on the Willingness of Nearby Urbanization of the New Generation Migrant Workers——Based on the Research in Jiangsu Province

基于360份江苏省新生代农民工调查数据,运用Probit模型对其就近城镇化意愿的影响因素进行了回归分析。结果表明,受访新生代农民工整体上就近城镇化的意愿较强烈,其中,新生代农民工的外出务工时间、随迁外出务工人员情况、在就近城镇的购房意愿等9个因子,对其就近城镇化意愿产生了不同程度的显著影响。未来应将发展经济、扶持就业创业作为主要动力,将完善制度、改革配套政策作为坚实后盾,将社会支持、加强基础建设作为重要保障。

The urbanization of the new generation migrant workers is an important part of social modernization in China. In consideration of their own financial conditions and settling cost, they should be rational to choose a suitable way of urbanization. Nearby urbanization, as an important path with Chinese characteristics, provides them with a new choice. Based on the survey data of the new generation migrant workers in Jiangsu Province, this paper makes a regression analysis of the influence factors on their willingness of nearby urbanization by using the Probit model. Results show that they express strong willingness of nearby urbanization on the whole, and nine factors, such as their work time, family members, willingness of buying houses in the nearby town, etc., make different degrees of obvious effect on their willingness. Finally, the paper puts forward proposals that booming economy and expanding employment should become the main driving force, the improved system and supporting policies should lay a solid foundation, and social support and infrastructure construction should provide important guarantee for nearby urbanization.