基于ELES模型的四川国内旅游消费结构实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Domestic Tourism Consumption Structure in Sichuan Province based on ELES Model

依据国家旅游局《旅游抽样调查资料》(2002-2017)数据,用ELES模型分析四川国内旅游消费结构与边际消费倾向、收入弹性、价格弹性之间的关系。分析发现,四川国内旅游消费非基本消费倾向不足0.3,偏重基本消费,购物收入弹性最大,自价格弹性较大,互价格弹性很小,其中购物自价格弹性最大。对此,可以通过转变旅游发展方式、鼓励自驾游和发展智慧旅游等措施促进旅游消费结构不断升级。

According to the tourism sample survey data of the national tourism administration(2002-2017),ELES model was used to analyze the relationship between the domestic tourism consumption structure of Sichuan and the marginal consumption tendency,income elasticity and price elasticity.According to the analysis,the non-basic consumption tendency of domestic tourism consumption in sichuan is less than 0.3,with emphasis on basic consumption,shopping income elasticity being the largest,self-price elasticity is the largest,and mutual price elasticity is the smallest.Among them,shopping self-price elasticity is the largest.In this regard,measures such as changing the mode of tourism development,encouraging self-driving travel and developing smart tourism can be taken to promote the continuous upgrading of tourism consumption structure.