深度贫困地区经济增长与城乡收入差距关系研究——以甘肃临夏回族自治州为例

Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Urban-Rural Income Gap in Deep Poverty-stricken Areas——Taking Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture of Gansu Province as an Example

缩小城乡区域发展和收入分配差距,已成为深度贫困地区精准攻克深度贫困堡垒、如期打赢脱贫攻坚战的关键所在。以典型深度贫困地区甘肃临夏回族自治州为例,基于1998-2017年数据,运用协整检验、Granger因果关系检验和误差修正模型对深度贫困地区经济增长与城乡收入差距关系进行实证研究。结果表明,经济增长与城乡收入差距之间存在长期均衡关系,经济增长是引起城乡收入差距变化的格兰杰原因,而城乡收入差距并非引起经济增长变化的"格兰杰"原因。因此,要大力发展农村经济,坚持城乡融合、统筹推进乡村振兴与新型城镇化,强力推进扶贫攻坚、全面改善贫困区生产生活条件,以缩小深度贫困地区城乡收入差距。

To narrow the gap between urban and rural regional development and income distribution has become the key to accurately conquer the deep poverty fortress and win the battle against poverty as scheduled. Taking Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture in Gansu Province as an example, based on the data from 1998 to 2017, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between economic growth and urban-rural income gap in deep poverty areas by using co-integration test, Granger causality test and error correction model. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between economic growth and urban-rural income gap. Economic growth is the Granger cause of the change of urban-rural income gap, while urban-rural income gap is not the Granger cause of the change of economic growth. Therefore, it is necessary to vigorously develop the rural economy, adhere to the integration of urban and rural areas, promote rural revitalization and new urbanization as a whole, vigorously promote poverty alleviation, and comprehensively improve production and living conditions in poverty-stricken areas, so as to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas in deep poverty-stricken areas.