技术进步偏向性跨国传递和不同传递路径异质性效应检验

A Study of Transnational Transmission of Biased Technological Progress and Heterogeneous Transfer Path

研究目标:中美技术进步偏向性跨国传递和不同传递路径异质性效应检验。研究方法:利用标准化系统法和似不相关模型测算技术进步偏向性,结合面板分位数回归模型,检验不同路径异质性传递效应。研究发现:中国制造业技术进步呈逆要素禀赋的资本偏向特征,可归结于技术进步偏向性跨国传递的结果,主要通过商品进口、FDI和设备引进实现,传递效应依赖于技术进步偏向强度。中美技术进步偏向性传递存在非对称性,中国受美国影响较大,易引发要素结构变化和就业损失,而中国反向传递效应有限。研究创新:从跨国传递视角解释中国技术进步资本偏向成因,检验不同传递路径的异质性效应。研究价值:为中国制造业技术升级路径选择提供理论依据。

Research Objectives: Test the effect of the transnational transmission of Sino-US biased technological progress and its heterogeneous transfer path. Research Methods: Applies the standardized system method and the seemingly unrelated model to estimate the technological progress bias,and uses the panel quantile regression model to test the heterogeneous transfer effect of different paths. Research Findings: Firstly, China's capital bias technological progress is due to the transnational transfer effect of technical progress direction.The transfer is realized through commodity import,FDI and equipment introduction,and the transfer effect depends on the biased intensity of technological progress.Secondly, the transmission of technological progress bias is not equal between China and the United States.China is greatly influenced by the United States,which is likely to cause the factor structure changes and the loss of employment,while China s reverse transmission effect is limited. Research Innovations: Explains the causes of capital biased technological progress in China from an innovative perspective of transnational transmission,and tests the heterogeneity effect of different transmission paths. Research Value: This paper can shed light on the choice of technology upgrade path in China's manufacturing industry.