摘要
以沣河流域为例,采用小波分析法、累积距平法分析了该流域1965-2016年径流量和降水量的变化趋势,揭示了径流量变化过程中存在1988和1997年两个突变点。应用累积量斜率变化率比较法分析了不同时期降水量和人类活动对沣河流域径流量变化的相对贡献率。结果表明:以1965-1987年为基准期,1988-1996年降水量和人类活动对径流量减小的相对贡献率分别为37. 69%和62. 31%; 1997-2016年降水量和人类活动对径流量减小的相对贡献率分别为-11. 92%和111. 92%。
The wavelet analysis and cumulative anomaly analysis method were used to analyze the changing trends of runoff and precipitation during 1965-2016 in the Fenghe River Basin.Two mutational points in the runoff in the Fenghe River Basin in 1988 and 1997 were revealed.And the slope change ratio of cumulative quantity was adopted to estimate the relative contribution rates of precipitation and human activities on runoff changes in different time periods.Taking 1965-1987 as a reference period,we obtained the contribution rates of precipitation and human activities to the decreased runoff from1988 to 1996 which were 37.69%and 62.31%respectively,and-11.92%and 111.92%in 1997-2016.
作者
夏伟
周维博
李文溢
何庆龙
安宝军
杨浩
XIA Wei;ZHOU Weibo;LI Wenyi;HE Qinglong;AN Baojun;YANG Hao(School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Chang'an University,Xi'an 710054,China;Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecology in Arid Areas of Ministry of Education,Chang'an University,Man 710054,China;Doumen Reservoir Construction Management Center of Fengdong New City of Xixian New Area of Shaanxi Province,Xi'an 710086,China)
出处
《水资源与水工程学报》
CSCD
2018年第6期47-52,共6页
Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering
基金
陕西省水利科技项目(2018slkj-10)
关键词
径流量
气候变化
人类活动
贡献率
沣河流域
runoff
climate variability
human activity
contribution rate
Fenghe River Basin