基于不完全信息动态博弈的个人信息管理活动中的信息保存与信息再现问题研究

An Analysis on Keeping Activities and Re-finding Activities in Personal Information Management from the Perspective of Game Theory

从博弈论角度分析个人信息管理中的信息保存与再现,将个人信息管理中的信息保存与信息再现的过程当成一种不完全信息动态博弈,博弈分为"未来的我"和"现在的我"两个博弈方。假设博弈为两回合,运用逆推归纳法分析"未来的我"和"现在的我"双方在两回合博弈中的最优均衡策略。根据博弈回合的分析,对"现在的我"在面对海量的信息时采取何种可能的措施提出了建议,为完善个人信息管理中信息保存行为与信息再现行为提供了理论依据。

This paper analyzes the keeping activities and re-finding activities in the personal information management from the perspective of game theory. It takes the keeping activities and re-finding activities as the dynamic games of incomplete information,and the game players are "present me"and "future me". Assuming that game for 2 rounds,backward induction method is used as way to analyze the optimal equilibrium. Based on the analysis,the paper gives us some suggestions for the possible methods people may take and gives the theoretical contribution to personal information management.