西藏国内贸易与本地经济增长关系的计量分析

An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship between Tibetan Domestic Trade and Local Economic Growth

基于2006～2015年时间序列数据,利用计量经济统计方法,考察了西藏国内贸易与本地经济增长之间的关系。经研究发现,西藏国内贸易与本地经济增长的关系是长期均衡的发展关系,且西藏国内贸易是本地经济增长的原因;同时,在影响西藏经济增长的三大需求中,国内贸易的占比最大,由此说明,在促进西藏经济增长的"三驾马车"中,消费比投资、净出口更为显著。

Based on the time series data from 2006 to 2015, the relationship between Tibet's domestic trade and local economic growth was examined using econometric statistical methods. The study found that the relationship between Tibet's domestic trade and local economic growth is a long-term balanced development relationship, and Tibet's domestic trade is the cause of local economic growth. At the same time, among the three major demands that affect Tibet's economic growth, domestic trade accounts for the largest proportion. This shows that in the “troika” that promotes Tibet's economic growth, consumption is more significant than investment and net exports.