能源需求与碳排放驱动因素分解模型发展评述

Review on the Decomposition Analysis of Driving Factors Applied to Energy Demand and Carbon Emission

该研究对能源需求与碳排放驱动因素分解的理论模型及实证研究文献进行了综述。首先,综述了加性分解式与乘性分解式的一般形式;其次,评述分析了指数分解法与结构分解法理论模型结构;最后,在总结全文研究的基础上展望了能源经济研究领域驱动因素分解未来的研究热点。研究表明:加性分解式在指数分解与结构分解分析研究领域已经得到广泛应用;乘性分解式在指数分解分析领域较结构分解分析更为广泛;随着投入产出表数据可获得性及能源环境政策需求的增强,乘性结构分解模型的开发创新与实证应用将成为该领域未来研究热点。

This review systematically reviewed the theoretical model and empirical studies on the driving forces analysis.Firstly, the illustration of generalized additive and multiplicative decomposition formulae are discussed. Secondly, the module of the index decomposition analysis and the structural decomposition analysis are listed and summarized. Finally, the possible research interest and potential focus in the future are released. The results show that the additive decomposition formulae have thus far been used in index decomposition analysis and the structural decomposition analysis. The multiplicative decomposition formulae are more popular applied in index decomposition analysis than the structural decomposition analysis.With the increasing available of the input output data, the innovative development and empirical analysis on the application of the multiplicative decomposition formulae in the structural decomposition analysis would be focused as the most attractive research direction in the future.