川南城市群县域产业结构与竞争力时空演变研究

Study on the Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Industrial Structure and Competitiveness of Counties in South Sichuan City Cluster

【目的】研究川南城市群的产业发展潜力和竞争力。【方法】选取川南城市群39个县域为研究对象,截取2000,2005,2010,2015年4个断面数据,运用偏离份额分析法、熵权TOPSIS模型及聚类分析法对它们的产业结构及竞争力的时空演变进行了分析。【结果】川南城市群产业结构北部地区较南部和西部协调,产业竞争力呈南北两侧高中间低的条带状分布,强劲区的竞争力偏离份额均高于3.4亿元,约为弱势区的124%。同时,东部和北部产业呈波动发展,西部呈低水平稳定发展。在空间上,川南城市群产业发展呈现出由一极独大向多极支撑并辐射周边转变。【结论】未来川南城市群有望成为依托于成渝城市群的次一级城市群。

[Purposes]The merits of the county economy structure decides the development potential and competitiveness of the county economy.[Methods]The article 39 counly as the research object,the basis of selection of urban agglomeration interception in 2000,2005,2010,2005 four cross section data,using deviation share analysis,entropy and TOPSIS model and clustering analysis to its industrial structure and competitiveness of space-time evolution are analyzed.LFindings]According to the results of northern Sichuan urban agglomeration industrial structure coordination,the southern and western industry competitiveness in north and south on both sides of the zonal distribution of high middle and low,strong deviation share were higher than 340 million Yuan,the competitiveness is the weak area about 124%.At the same time,the eastern and northern industries fluctuated,and the western region developed at a low level.In space,the in dustrial developme nt of agglomeration in southern Sichuan province shows the transformation from one pole to the multi-pole and the radiation periphery.[Conclusions]In the future,the urban agglomeration of southern Sichuan is expected to be the second-level urban agglomeration relying on Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration.