山东、江苏和广东省的城镇化状态与驱动因子

The urbanization state and driving factors in Shandong,Jiangsu and Guangdong provinces

文章从城镇化率、区域差异、城市规模、核心城市等5个方面系统分析了山东、江苏和广东省城镇化状态;运用因子分析和多元回归分析系统分析了3省城镇化驱动因子.研究表明:3省城镇化率均高于全国平均水平,江苏和广东两省趋于城镇化稳定发展阶段;广东省区域差异最大,山东次之,江苏最小;3省均属双核心城市省份,首位度均较低;济南和南京集聚人口能力有限,深圳、广州、苏州和青岛的核心地位突出;经济发展水平、投资与产业结构转换能力、基础设施供给能力是影响3省城镇化发展的主要因素.

The paper analyses the urbanization status of Shandong,Jiangsu and Guangdong Province from five aspects: urbanization rate,regional differences,city scale and core cities,and uses factor analysis and multiple regression analysis to analyze the driving factors of urbanization in the three provinces.The research shows that the urbanization rate of the three provinces is higher than the national average level,and the urbanization of Jiangsu and Guangdong tends to develop steadily;the regional difference of Guangdong Province is the biggest,followed by Shandong Province and Jiangsu Province is the smallest;the three provinces belong to the dual-core city provinces,with low primacy;the agglomeration capacity of Jinan and Nanjing is weak,and the core status of Shenzhen,Guangzhou,Suzhou and Qingdao is significant;and the main factors affecting the urbanization development of the three provinces are the level of economic development,the ability of investment and industrial structure transformation,and the ability of infrastructure supply.