中国省域产业融合能力:理论解构、评价方法及时空分异分析

China's Provincial Industry Convergence Capability: Theoretical Deconstruction, Evaluation Methods and Spatiotemporal Differentiation

在梳理分析产业融合影响因素的基础上,从产业融合需求拉力、供给推力及环境支撑力角度,对产业融合能力进行理论解构。在此基础上,构建区域产业融合能力评价指标体系,运用熵值法测度我国内地30个省市区2005-2016年的产业融合能力,并采用灰色关联分析法确定各子系统与区域产业融合能力的关联程度。结果表明:区域产业融合的供给推力、需求拉力和环境支撑力与产业融合能力的关联度依次下降;从时间维度看,2005-2016年我国各地区产业融合能力综合指数呈稳定上升趋势,地区产业融合能力逐渐增强;从空间维度看,我国产业融合能力地区差异明显,且呈现出东高西低、南强北弱的分布格局;从全国平均水平看,我国整体产业融合能力综合指数较低,产业融合能力不足。

Based on the influencing factors analysis of industrial integration, from the perspective of demand pull, supply thrust and environment supporting , the paper deconstruct the Theories of industrial integration capability. And then it builds evaluation index system of regional industrial integration capability. The entropy method is used to measure the comprehensive index of industrial integration ability in 30 provinces and cities of China in 2005-2016 years. The gray correlation analysis method is used to determine the correlation between the subsystems and the industrial integration ability. The results show that: the relationship between supply thrust, demand pulling force and environmental support force of regional industrial integration and industrial integration ability declined in turn;From the time dimension, the industrial integration ability comprehensive index of all regions in China was steadily rising in 2005-2016, and the regional industrial integration capacity increased gradually;From the perspective of spatial dimension, China's industrial convergence ability regional differences are obvious, showing a distribution pattern of East, West, and south;From the national average level, the comprehensive index of China's overall industrial convergence ability is relatively low, and industrial integration capability is insufficient.