制造业集聚对物流业空间演化的影响研究——以江苏省为例

Influence of Manufacturing Agglomeration on Spatial Evolution of Logistics Industry: Taking Jiangsu Province as An Example

运用全局熵值法计算江苏2007—2017年物流业的发展水平,在此基础上进行空间自相关分析,揭示江苏物流业的空间演化。从制造业考虑,采用计量方法分析了制造业集聚对物流业发展空间差异的影响。结果显示:近11年江苏物流业整体水平一直在提高,但各城市的发展不均衡,总体呈现南强北弱的局面。从整体看,江苏物流业发展趋于集聚分布;从局部看,形成了无锡、南通组成的高水平集聚区以及以淮安为中心的低水平集聚区。制造业的规模、人力吸引力、集聚能力、固定资产投资以及对外开放性都对物流业的发展有正向促进作用,但影响程度依次减弱;制造业主要是通过扩大物流产业规模促进物流业发展,并对物流基础设施发展有一定抑制作用。

Firstly, the global entropy method is used to calculate the development level of logistics industry in Jiangsu Province from 2007 to 2017. Based on this, spatial autocorrelation analysis is carried out to reveal the spatial evolution of logistics industry in Jiangsu Province. Finally, from the perspective of manufacturing, the measurement method empirically analyzes the impact of manufacturing agglomeration on the spatial differences in the development of the logistics industry. The results show that the overall level of the logistics industry in Jiangsu Province has been improving in the past 11 years, but the development of each city is not balanced, and the overall situation is “north weak south strong”. On the whole, the development of logistics industry in Jiangsu Province tends to cluster distribution;From a local perspective,a high-level gathering area composed of Suzhou, Wuxi and Nantong and a low-level gathering area centered on Huai’an are formed. The added value of manufacturing industry, the attractiveness of manufacturing industry, the fixed assets investment in manufacturing industry, Manufacturing agglomeration capacity, and the openness of the industry all have positive effects on the development of the logistics industry, and the degree of influence is weakened in turn;The manufacturing industry mainly expands the logistics industry scale to promote the development of the logistics industry, and have a certain inhibitory effect on the development of logistics infrastructure.