中国与“一带一路”沿线国家制造业共生水平与贸易效率研究

Research on the Symbiosis Level and Trade Efficiency of the Manufacturing Industries in China and Countries along "the Belt and Road" Route

基于共生理论,从融合、竞争、互补、依存四个维度构建"产业共生水平评价指标体系",并对中国与"一带一路"沿线国家制造业的共生情况进行分析。在此基础上拓展随机前沿引力模型,研究了在共生环境下2008—2016年间中国与"一带一路"沿线国家制造业在市场域层面和产品域层面的贸易效率。结果显示:双边制造业具有较好的共生水平;融合性与依存性对双边贸易有显著的正向影响,而竞争性和互补性则具有显著的负向影响;在市场域层面,中国与沿线国家的整体贸易效率偏低且相对稳定,与东南亚地区的贸易效率较高而与中东欧地区的贸易效率较低;在产品域层面,中国与沿线国家在初级产品领域内的贸易效率较低,而在工业制成品领域内的贸易效率较高。

Based on the Symbiosis Theory, this paper constructs an "Industrial Symbiosis Level Evaluation Index Systemn from the four dimensions of integration, competition, complementation and dependence, then it analyzes the symbiosis of the manufacturing industries between China and the countries along "the Belt and Road" route. On such basis, this paper extends the Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model to study the trade efficiency of the manufacturing industries in China and in the coun? tries along the “Belt and Road” route in the market field and the product domain respectively under the symbiosis environment during the period of 2008-2016. The results show that the bilateral manufacturing industries have a better level of symbiosis;the integration and dependence have a significant positive impact on the bilateral trade, while the competitiveness and complementation have a significant negative impact. On the level of market field, the overall trade efficiency between China and the countries along the route is lower and relatively stable, while the efficiency of Southeast Asian countries is relatively higher, and it is relatively lower in Central and Eastern European countries. On the level of product domain, the trade efficiency is relatively lower in the primary product sector in China and the countries along the route, while it is relatively higher in the industrial manufactured prod? uct sector.